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Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed96%Gedion Timothewos1%Alesa Mengesha<1%Berhanu Nega<1%Demeke Mekonnen<1%Shimelis Abdisa<1%Adanech Abiebie<1%Belete Molla<1%
$191.5M vol8 markets

Claim Markets

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Bill SimmonsSports

$12,610
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Joe RoganPolymath

$10,824
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Derek ThompsonPolitics

$10,635
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Kyle SamaniCrypto

$10,345
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Mike SolanaVenture

$10,242

Popular

1

World Cup Winner

Spain

58%
2

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

20%
3

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

42%
4

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%
5

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli

58%

Politics

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed96%Gedion Timothewos1%Alesa Mengesha<1%Berhanu Nega<1%Demeke Mekonnen<1%Shimelis Abdisa<1%Adanech Abiebie<1%Belete Molla<1%
$191.5M vol8 markets

Fed Decision in July?

No change96%25 bps increase4%25 bps decrease<1%50+ bps increase<1%50+ bps decrease<1%
$66.7M vol5 markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom20%Jon Ossoff15%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%Kamala Harris7%Josh Shapiro5%Pete Buttigieg5%Andy Beshear2%Jon Stewart2%Ro Khanna2%Rahm Emanuel2%Wes Moore1%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%Michelle Obama1%James Talarico1%Mark Kelly<1%Chelsea Clinton<1%Stephen A. Smith<1%Mark Cuban<1%Roy Cooper<1%J.B. Pritzker<1%Chris Murphy<1%Gretchen Whitmer<1%Jared Polis<1%Cory Booker<1%Hillary Clinton<1%Jasmine Crockett<1%Barack Obama<1%Bernie Sanders<1%Hunter Biden<1%Phil Murphy<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Raphael Warnock<1%Ruben Gallego<1%Oprah Winfrey<1%Gina Raimondo<1%Andrew Yang<1%Zohran Mamdani<1%Liz Cheney<1%George Clooney<1%LeBron James<1%John Fetterman<1%Beto O’Rourke<1%MrBeast<1%Tim Walz<1%Graham Platner<1%
$1.2B vol45 markets

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei80%No Head of State6%Reza Pahlavi4%Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf3%Alireza Arafi2%Hassan Rouhani<1%Abbas Araghchi<1%Ahmad Vahidi<1%Masoud Pezeshkian<1%Hassan Khomeini<1%Mahmoud Ahmadinejad<1%Sadegh Larijani<1%Ali Asghar Hejazi<1%Hassan Shariatmadari<1%Reza Pirzadeh<1%Massoud Rajavi<1%Muhammad Mirbaqiri<1%Ali Motahari<1%Saeed Jalili<1%Maryam Rajavi<1%Navid Shomali<1%Mohsen Araki<1%Nasir Hosseini<1%Mustafa Hijri<1%Sadegh Mahsouli<1%Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani<1%Mostafa Pourmohammadi<1%Seyed Hossein Mousavian<1%Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel<1%Mohammad Khatami<1%Mohammad Pakpour0%Ali Larijani0%
$30.1M vol32 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen32%Édouard Philippe27%Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%David Lisnard4%Jordan Bardella4%Bruno Retailleau3%François Hollande3%Gabriel Attal2%Dominique de Villepin2%Raphaël Glucksmann2%Sébastien Lecornu1%Sarah Knafo<1%Éric Zemmour<1%Bernard Cazeneuve<1%Juan Branco<1%Clémence Guetté<1%Karim Bouamrane<1%Laurent Wauquiez<1%Gérald Darmanin<1%Ségolène Royal<1%Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%Michel Barnier<1%Jean Castex<1%Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%Olivier Faure<1%François Ruffin<1%François Bayrou<1%Marine Tondelier<1%Xavier Bertrand<1%Valérie Pécresse<1%Yannick Jadot<1%François Baroin<1%Clémentine Autain<1%Marion Maréchal<1%Fabien Roussel<1%Mathilde Panot<1%Lucie Castets<1%Élisabeth Borne<1%François Asselineau<1%Carole Delga<1%Manuel Bompard<1%
$114.5M vol41 markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%Marco Rubio14%Gavin Newsom12%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%Jon Ossoff8%Kamala Harris5%Josh Shapiro3%Pete Buttigieg2%Tucker Carlson2%Donald Trump2%Ron DeSantis2%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%Andy Beshear1%Thomas Massie1%Ro Khanna1%Donald Trump Jr.1%Greg Abbott<1%Wes Moore<1%James Talarico<1%Jamie Dimon<1%Tulsi Gabbard<1%Elon Musk<1%Michelle Obama<1%Ivanka Trump<1%Glenn Youngkin<1%Nikki Haley<1%Gretchen Whitmer<1%Pete Hegseth<1%JB Pritzker<1%Vivek Ramaswamy<1%Zohran Mamdani<1%Eric Trump<1%Stephen Smith<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Tim Walz<1%LeBron James<1%Jalen Brunson<1%
$662.2M vol37 markets

Sports

Spain vs. Argentina - Exact Score

Spain 1 - 1 Argentina16%Spain 1 - 0 Argentina12%Spain 0 - 0 Argentina11%Spain 2 - 1 Argentina10%Spain 0 - 1 Argentina9%Spain 2 - 0 Argentina8%Spain 1 - 2 Argentina7%Spain 2 - 2 Argentina6%Any Other Score5%Spain 0 - 2 Argentina4%Spain 3 - 1 Argentina4%Spain 3 - 0 Argentina3%Spain 2 - 3 Argentina3%Spain 3 - 2 Argentina2%Spain 1 - 3 Argentina2%Spain 0 - 3 Argentina1%Spain 3 - 3 Argentina1%
$5.6M vol17 markets

World Cup Winner

Spain58%Argentina42%Colombia0%Paraguay0%Iraq0%Morocco0%Ecuador0%Haiti0%Austria0%Italy0%Germany0%Mexico0%Senegal0%New Zealand0%South Africa0%Cape Verde0%Japan0%Netherlands0%Curaçao0%Jordan0%Panama0%Bosnia-Herzegovina0%Portugal0%Brazil0%Croatia0%Saudi Arabia0%Ivory Coast0%Turkiye0%Peru0%Qatar0%Norway0%Czechia0%Belgium0%Congo DR0%Sweden0%USA0%Switzerland0%Uzbekistan0%Algeria0%Iran0%Canada0%Australia0%Ghana0%Tunisia0%England0%Scotland0%South Korea0%Egypt0%Uruguay0%France0%
$4.3B vol50 markets

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Spread -1.5100%O/U 3.5100%New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies100%O/U 4.5100%Spread -2.5100%Extra Innings<1%O/U 7.5<1%1st 5 Innings O/U 3.50%1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%NRFI0%1st 5 Innings O/U 4.50%1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%O/U 5.50%1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%Spread -1.50%O/U 9.50%1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%1st 5 Innings O/U 2.50%O/U 6.50%O/U 10.50%
$3.7M vol22 markets

France vs. England - Exact Score

Any Other Score14%France 1 - 1 England11%France 2 - 1 England11%France 2 - 2 England8%France 1 - 2 England7%France 1 - 0 England7%France 2 - 0 England7%France 3 - 1 England7%France 3 - 0 England5%France 3 - 2 England5%France 0 - 1 England4%France 0 - 0 England4%France 2 - 3 England3%France 1 - 3 England3%France 0 - 2 England3%France 3 - 3 England3%France 0 - 3 England1%
$2.2M vol17 markets

Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets

O/U 0.590%2nd Half O/U 0.576%Spain O/U 0.576%O/U 1.570%Argentina O/U 0.566%1st Half O/U 0.563%Team to Advance59%Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.552%Both Teams to Score52%Spain 1st Half O/U 0.545%Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.544%O/U 2.543%2nd Half O/U 1.542%Spain O/U 1.540%Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.536%Will the Match Go to Extra Time?33%Both Teams to Score in Second Half28%1st Half O/U 1.528%Argentina O/U 1.528%O/U 3.523%Spain (-1.5)21%Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?20%2nd Half O/U 2.517%Both Teams to Score in First Half17%Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.515%Spain O/U 2.515%Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.511%O/U 4.511%Argentina (-1.5)9%Argentina O/U 2.59%1st Half O/U 2.59%Spain 1st Half O/U 1.59%Spain (-2.5)7%Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.55%O/U 5.54%Argentina (-2.5)2%Spain (-3.5)2%O/U 6.51%Spain (-4.5)<1%Argentina (-3.5)<1%O/U 7.5<1%Argentina (-5.5)<1%O/U 8.5<1%Argentina (-4.5)<1%Spain (-5.5)<1%
$2.2M vol45 markets

France vs. England - More Markets

O/U 0.596%France O/U 0.588%O/U 1.587%2nd Half O/U 0.586%England O/U 0.578%1st Half O/U 0.577%Both Teams to Score69%France 2nd Half O/U 0.568%O/U 2.568%Team to Win64%France O/U 1.561%France 1st Half O/U 0.560%2nd Half O/U 1.557%England 2nd Half O/U 0.554%1st Half O/U 1.546%England 1st Half O/U 0.546%O/U 3.546%England O/U 1.542%Both Teams to Score in Second Half40%France 2nd Half O/U 1.533%France O/U 2.533%2nd Half O/U 2.531%Both Teams to Score in First Half29%France (-1.5)28%O/U 4.526%Will the Match Go to Extra Time?25%France 1st Half O/U 1.523%1st Half O/U 2.519%England 2nd Half O/U 1.518%England O/U 2.517%France (-2.5)14%Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?13%O/U 5.513%England 1st Half O/U 1.513%England (-1.5)11%O/U 6.56%France (-3.5)5%England (-2.5)3%France (-4.5)2%O/U 7.52%England (-3.5)1%O/U 8.5<1%France (-5.5)<1%England (-4.5)<1%England (-5.5)<1%
$2.1M vol45 markets

NBA

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder27%San Antonio Spurs19%New York Knicks8%Philadelphia 76ers7%Boston Celtics5%Toronto Raptors4%Cleveland Cavaliers4%Denver Nuggets4%Minnesota Timberwolves4%Miami Heat3%Detroit Pistons3%Los Angeles Lakers2%Golden State Warriors2%Indiana Pacers2%Washington Wizards2%Houston Rockets2%Phoenix Suns1%Portland Trail Blazers1%Utah Jazz<1%Atlanta Hawks<1%Los Angeles Clippers<1%Orlando Magic<1%Charlotte Hornets<1%Dallas Mavericks<1%Memphis Grizzlies<1%Chicago Bulls<1%Milwaukee Bucks<1%New Orleans Pelicans<1%Brooklyn Nets<1%Sacramento Kings<1%
$6.9M vol30 markets

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Cameron Boozer22%Darryn Peterson19%Caleb Wilson16%AJ Dybantsa16%Darius Acuff Jr.8%Brayden Burries7%Mikel Brown Jr.5%Keaton Wagler3%Yaxel Lendeborg3%Chris Cenac Jr.<1%Kingston Flemings<1%Ebuka Okorie<1%Labaron Philon Jr.<1%Zuby Ejiofor<1%Christian Anderson<1%Tarris Reed Jr.<1%Cameron Carr<1%Allen Graves<1%Dailyn Swain<1%Alex Karaban<1%Bennett Stirtz<1%Karim López<1%Koa Peat<1%Aday Mara<1%Joshua Jefferson<1%Morez Johnson Jr.<1%Sergio De Larrea<1%Jayden Quaintance<1%Nate Ament<1%Hannes Steinbach<1%
$7.8M vol30 markets

NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?

$4M-$10M52%$15M-$50M18%$10M-$15M15%Under $4M14%Over $50M<1%
$84K vol5 markets

NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?

6%
Yes
$16K vol1 market

NBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team

Toronto Raptors84%Los Angeles Clippers17%San Antonio Spurs<1%Cleveland Cavaliers<1%Chicago Bulls<1%New York Knicks<1%Brooklyn Nets<1%Portland Trail Blazers<1%Detroit Pistons<1%Orlando Magic<1%Sacramento Kings<1%Memphis Grizzlies<1%Atlanta Hawks<1%Los Angeles Lakers<1%Miami Heat<1%Boston Celtics<1%Indiana Pacers<1%Houston Rockets<1%Dallas Mavericks<1%Charlotte Hornets<1%Washington Wizards<1%Utah Jazz<1%Minnesota Timberwolves<1%Phoenix Suns<1%Golden State Warriors<1%Oklahoma City Thunder<1%Milwaukee Bucks<1%New Orleans Pelicans<1%Philadelphia 76ers<1%Denver Nuggets<1%
$169K vol30 markets

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

3%
Yes
$238K vol1 market

Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

↓ 60,000100%↓ 62,500100%↓ 65,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 62,500100%↑ 62,500100%↓ 62,50077%↑ 65,00077%↓ 60,00038%↑ 67,50035%↓ 57,50014%↑ 70,00014%↑ 72,5007%↓ 55,0006%↑ 75,0003%↓ 52,5003%↓ 50,0001%↑ 77,5001%↑ 80,000<1%↓ 47,500<1%↓ 45,000<1%↑ 82,500<1%↓ 40,000<1%↓ 42,500<1%↑ 100,000<1%↓ 37,500<1%
$10.6M vol26 markets

Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO

>4M100%>12M100%>16M100%>8M100%>10M100%>14M100%>6M100%>2M100%>18M100%>25M100%>20M100%>27.5M99%>30M95%>32.5M36%>35M20%>40M8%>45M5%>55M2%>50M2%>60M2%>65M2%>70M2%>75M<1%>80M<1%>85M<1%>95M<1%>100M<1%>90M<1%
$1.3M vol28 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 75,000100%↑ 75,000100%↓ 60,000100%↑ 80,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 70,000100%↓ 65,000100%↓ 60,000100%↑ 90,000100%↓ 85,000100%↑ 70,00077%↑ 75,00051%↓ 55,00050%↑ 80,00035%↓ 50,00034%↓ 45,00023%↑ 85,00022%↑ 90,00017%↓ 40,00017%↓ 35,00013%↑ 95,00013%↓ 30,0009%↑ 100,0009%↑ 110,0007%↓ 25,0006%↑ 120,0005%↓ 20,0004%↑ 130,0004%↑ 140,0003%↑ 150,0003%↑ 160,0003%↓ 10,0002%↓ 15,0002%↑ 170,0002%↑ 200,0002%↑ 190,0002%↑ 180,0002%↓ 5,0002%↑ 250,0001%↑ 500,0001%↑ 1,000,000<1%↓ 60,000-
$48.0M vol43 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in July?

↓ 1,800100%↓ 1,900100%↑ 1,800100%↑ 1,800100%↑ 1,700100%↓ 1,800100%↑ 1,800100%↑ 1,800100%↑ 1,900100%↓ 1,600100%↑ 1,90076%↓ 1,80076%↑ 2,00040%↓ 1,70037%↑ 2,10016%↓ 1,60014%↑ 2,2007%↓ 1,5007%↑ 2,3005%↓ 1,4003%↓ 1,3002%↑ 2,4002%↑ 2,5002%↓ 1,200<1%↓ 1,100<1%↓ 1,000<1%↓ 900<1%↓ 700<1%↓ 800<1%
$2.5M vol29 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↓ 2,500100%↓ 2,000100%↑ 1,750100%↑ 1,750100%↑ 2,00089%↑ 2,25056%↓ 1,50047%↑ 2,50030%↓ 1,25024%↑ 2,75019%↑ 3,00017%↑ 3,50013%↓ 1,00012%↓ 8008%↑ 4,0007%↓ 7006%↑ 4,5006%↓ 6005%↑ 5,0004%↑ 5,5004%↑ 6,0003%↓ 5003%↑ 7,0002%↑ 7,5002%↑ 6,5002%↑ 8,0002%↑ 10,0002%
$8.1M vol27 markets

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

37%
Yes
$1.8M vol1 market

Tech

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Anthropic97%Google2%OpenAI<1%Moonshot<1%Meituan<1%Baidu<1%Meta<1%Mistral<1%DeepSeek<1%Z.ai<1%xAI<1%Microsoft<1%ByteDance<1%Amazon<1%Alibaba<1%
$6.7M vol15 markets

Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA72%Apple27%Alphabet2%Amazon<1%Saudi Aramco<1%Tesla<1%Microsoft<1%Broadcom<1%
$2.6M vol8 markets

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA62%Apple23%Alphabet13%SpaceX1%Tesla<1%Microsoft<1%Amazon<1%Saudi Aramco<1%
$4.3M vol8 markets

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Caesars Entertainment100%iRobot100%Cursor100%Warner Bros. Discovery100%Pizza Hut100%MGM Resorts64%PayPal60%Viking Therapeutics44%Brown-Forman35%GitLab21%Snapchat20%Perplexity AI19%Zoom Video Communications17%Ubisoft13%Nebius Group13%BP12%Lovable11%OpenAI6%Anthropic6%
$18.1M vol19 markets

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount73%None by June 30, 202712%Netflix<1%Comcast<1%
$1.2M vol4 markets

AI bubble burst by...?

December 31, 202616%December 31, 20250%March 31, 20260%
$2.9M vol3 markets

Culture

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi60%Kylian Mbappe40%Harry Kane<1%Jude Bellingham<1%Mikel Oyarzabal<1%Marcus Thuram<1%Dani Olmo<1%Bradley Barcola<1%Julian Alvarez<1%Michael Olise<1%Desire Doue<1%Lautaro Martinez<1%Ferran Torres<1%Lamine Yamal<1%Ousmane Dembele<1%Pedri<1%Bukayo Saka<1%Deniz Undav0%Rodrygo0%Antoine Semenyo0%Luis Javier Suárez0%Luis Diaz0%Memphis Depay0%Ivan Perišić0%Donyell Malen0%Cristiano Ronaldo0%Sadio Mane0%Romelu Lukaku0%Tim Payne0%Viktor Gyökeres0%Amad Diallo0%Heung-Min Son0%Serge Gnabry0%Dion Beljo0%Kai Havertz0%Endrick0%Noah Okafor0%Edin Džeko0%Depay Memphis0%Rafael Leao0%Igor Thiago0%Federico Valverde0%Scott McTominay0%Vinicius Junior0%Andrej Kramarić0%Cody Gakpo0%Bruno Fernandes0%Florian Wirtz0%Mohamed Salah0%Raphinha0%Folarin Balogun0%Erling Haaland0%
$64.4M vol52 markets

Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys

LIVE • 7-6(7-4), 4-6, 6-5 • S3
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 9.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 10.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.5100%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.599%Completed Match75%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys68%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.5<1%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.5<1%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 10.50%Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner0%
$1.1M vol16 markets

Spain vs. Argentina

Spain43%Draw (Spain vs. Argentina)32%Argentina27%
$1.0M vol3 markets

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Lionel Messi90%Rodri5%Kylian Mbappé2%Lamine Yamal2%Jude Bellingham<1%Harry Kane<1%Vinícius Jr.<1%Florian Wirtz<1%Bruno Fernandes<1%Declan Rice<1%Pedri<1%Neymar<1%Bukayo Saka<1%Michael Olise<1%Rayan Cherki<1%Erling Haaland<1%Vitinha<1%Gavi<1%Cristiano Ronaldo<1%Ousmane Dembélé<1%
$10.4M vol20 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

24%
Yes
$43.6M vol1 market

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM99%Petro - Colombia President<1%Díaz-Canel - Cuba President<1%Netanyahu - Israel PM<1%Putin - Russia President<1%Zelenskyy - Ukraine President<1%Trump - USA President<1%Abbas - President of Palestine<1%Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea<1%Xi - General Secretary of the CCP<1%Sheinbaum - Mexico President<1%Lula da Silva - Brazil President<1%None before 2027<1%Newsom - California Governor<1%Albanese - Australia PM<1%Macron - France President<1%Lecornu - France PM<1%Erdoğan - Türkiye President<1%Merz - German Chancellor<1%Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President<1%Milei - Argentina President<1%al-Sharaa - Syria President<1%Sánchez - Spanish PM<1%Takaichi - Japan PM<1%
$66.1M vol24 markets
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