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Polymarket

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase53%No change47%25 bps decrease<1%50+ bps increase<1%50+ bps decrease<1%

$67.8M vol5 markets

Claim Markets

Vistadex Exclusive

Joe RoganPolymath

$10,788

Stephen A. SmithSports

$10,786

Derek ThompsonPolitics

$10,561

AnsemCrypto

$10,468

Mike SolanaVenture

$10,110

Indices

Republican Political Future Index

RED

97.9

+1.5

Democrat Political Future Index

BLUE

105.9

+1.1

Presidential (R)

PRESR

91.5

+0.0

Presidential (D)

PRESD

107.5

+0.0

Senate (R)

SENR

100.6

+0.6

Politics

Sports

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%O/U 9.5100%NRFI100%Spread -1.5100%O/U 7.5100%O/U 8.5100%Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs100%O/U 10.5100%

$1.4M vol19 markets

CF Monterrey vs. Atlético San Luis

LIVE • 0-2 • HT

Atlético San Luis73%Draw (CF Monterrey vs. Atlético San Luis)17%CF Monterrey11%

$1.0M vol3 markets

US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovic

LIVE • 7-6(7-5), 5-7, 4-6, 2-2 • S4

$1.8M vol26 markets

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona18%Arsenal16%Paris Saint-Germain14%Bayern Munich14%Real Madrid13%Manchester City8%Liverpool7%Inter Milan3%

$19.5M vol36 markets

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder22%San Antonio Spurs21%Philadelphia 76ers13%New York Knicks12%Boston Celtics5%Minnesota Timberwolves4%Denver Nuggets3%Miami Heat3%

$19.9M vol30 markets

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Los Angeles Rams18%Buffalo Bills9%Baltimore Ravens7%Seattle Seahawks7%Kansas City Chiefs6%Denver Broncos5%Dallas Cowboys5%Philadelphia Eagles4%

$48.2M vol32 markets

NBA

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Cameron Boozer23%Caleb Wilson21%AJ Dybantsa21%Darryn Peterson17%Darius Acuff Jr.6%Yaxel Lendeborg2%Mikel Brown Jr.2%Labaron Philon Jr.2%

$7.9M vol30 markets

NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion

Philadelphia 76ers23%New York Knicks21%Boston Celtics14%Detroit Pistons9%Miami Heat9%Cleveland Cavaliers7%Toronto Raptors7%Indiana Pacers4%

$166K vol15 markets

NBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team

Toronto Raptors84%Los Angeles Clippers5%Denver Nuggets4%Golden State Warriors1%Detroit Pistons<1%San Antonio Spurs<1%Cleveland Cavaliers<1%Chicago Bulls<1%

$305K vol30 markets

NBA Free Agency: Jalen Duren Next Team

Detroit Pistons76%Brooklyn Nets21%Denver Nuggets6%Sacramento Kings5%Milwaukee Bucks4%Portland Trail Blazers3%Houston Rockets2%Boston Celtics2%

$171K vol30 markets

NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers98%Toronto Raptors<1%Memphis Grizzlies<1%Atlanta Hawks<1%San Antonio Spurs<1%Milwaukee Bucks<1%Sacramento Kings<1%Golden State Warriors<1%

$1.3M vol30 markets

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Yes

$300K vol1 market

Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

↑ 65,000100%↑ 75,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 70,000100%↑ 80,000100%↓ 65,000100%↓ 80,000100%↓ 65,000100%

$27.4M vol47 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 75,000100%↑ 75,000100%↓ 60,000100%↑ 80,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 75,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 70,000100%

$61.3M vol47 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in August?

↑ 1,900100%↑ 2,500100%↑ 1,900100%↓ 2,400100%↓ 1,900100%↑ 2,500100%↓ 2,500100%↓ 1,900100%

$8.2M vol43 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit August 24-30?

↑ 78,000100%↓ 80,000100%↑ 80,000100%↓ 78,000100%↓ 78,000100%↑ 78,000100%↓ 78,000100%↓ 76,0001%

$1.3M vol22 markets

What price will XRP hit in August?

↑ 1.40100%↑ 1.60100%↓ 1.00100%↑ 1.40100%↓ 1.40100%↑ 1.40100%↓ 1.40100%↓ 1.00100%

$2.2M vol29 markets

What price will Solana hit in August?

↑ 100100%↓ 90100%↑ 80100%↑ 100100%↑ 100100%↑ 90100%↑ 110100%↓ 10072%

$1.6M vol23 markets

Tech

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Anthropic99%OpenAI<1%Google<1%Meituan<1%DeepSeek<1%Moonshot<1%Nvidia<1%Baidu<1%

$3.2M vol21 markets

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA76%Apple15%Alphabet9%Microsoft<1%SpaceX<1%Saudi Aramco<1%Tesla<1%Amazon<1%

$6.5M vol8 markets

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 202672%October 31, 202663%November 30, 202662%September 30, 202647%September 15, 202642%August 31, 2026<1%June 30, 20260%August 14, 20260%

$1.7M vol13 markets

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Alibaba99%Moonshot1%Z.ai<1%Xiaomi<1%MiniMax<1%Tencent<1%Meituan<1%StepFun<1%

$1.1M vol11 markets

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 3149%September 3014%September 155%August 31<1%June 120%July 290%August 70%July 240%

$1.2M vol21 markets

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Caesars Entertainment100%iRobot100%Cursor100%Warner Bros. Discovery100%Pizza Hut100%MGM Resorts36%Viking Therapeutics16%Lovable15%

$18.2M vol19 markets

Culture

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 22100%August 3100%August 4100%July 26100%August 1100%August 2100%August 15100%July 20100%

$27.0M vol23 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 319%September 302%August 31<1%April 300%May 310%April 150%June 300%March 310%

$72.4M vol10 markets

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

↓ $75100%↓ $85100%↑ $85100%↑ $85100%↑ $80100%↓ $80100%↓ $75100%↑ $80100%

$11.1M vol28 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen33%Édouard Philippe26%Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%Gabriel Attal4%David Lisnard3%François Hollande3%Jordan Bardella3%Raphaël Glucksmann2%

$123.8M vol41 markets

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202714%December 31, 20267%September 30, 20262%August 31, 2026<1%July 31, 20260%

$22.2M vol5 markets

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3126%September 3012%August 312%August 150%July 150%July 270%July 210%July 310%

$8.9M vol10 markets

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